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Tony Award Nomination Predictions 2024: The Shoo-Ins, The Wild Cards And Everything In-Between

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Close races and sharp elbows are likely when the 2024 Tony Award nominations are announced Tuesday morning. With so many shows opening during the onslaught of the past two weeks, nominators might still be clearing their minds — and maybe taking a moment to eat and breathe — as they ponder and re-ponder the 36 productions that opened on Broadway between April 28, 2023, and April 25, 2024.

Some of the nominations are no-brainers: The much-praised and hugely popular Merrily We Roll Along is a sure bet for all concerned, but what about more polarizing fare?

Cabaret, Here Lies Love, Water for Elephants, I’m looking at you. A selection of categories will be read live on CBS Morningsat 8:30 am ET, and a full livestream of the announcements will follow at 9 a.m.

ET on the official Tony Awards YouTube page. RELATED: 2024-25 Awards Season Calendar – Dates For Oscars, Tonys, Guilds, BAFTAs, Spirits & More Here, then, are my predictions and thoughts on the shows that I think will compete for Tonys on June 16, and a few I hope to see make it. (See the entire list of eligible 2023-24 Broadway productions at the bottom of this post.) BEST MUSICAL Shaina Taub’s brilliant Suffs, Alicia Keys’ joyous Hell’s Kitchen and the exhilarating Sufjan Stevens-Justin Peck dance-musical hybrid collaboration Illinoise are — or should be — sure bets.

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