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How the Oscar Race Stacks Up Now That the Guilds Have Spoken (Sorry, ‘Spider-Man’)

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have now made their choices for the best film accomplishments of 2021, culminating this week with a day in which the Producers Guild, Writers Guild and Directors Guild all announced their nominations within a few hours of each other.And when the dust cleared, the Oscar race looked pretty much the same way it did before the guilds started announcing nominations.“Belfast?” Check. “The Power of the Dog?” Yep. “West Side Story,” “King Richard,” “Licorice Pizza,” “CODA,” “Dune,” “Don’t Look Up”?

It sure looks that way.Yes, the guilds did put a dent in a few films’ chances. Sorry about that, “Spider-Man: No Way Home” and “No Time to Die.” You deserve better, “C’mon C’mon” and “The Tragedy of Macbeth.”But there were no dramatic changes when awards season shifted from critics, journalists and academics to film professionals, except among those who thought that rave reviews and critics’ awards for “Drive My Car” and “Spencer” meant that those films would be getting some real traction in the race.And if the guild awards narrowed the field a bit and shone a spotlight on a handful of contenders, they didn’t anoint a real front runner, because every film came out of the guilds with a dent or two.

If there’s a grand slam of film awards on the road to Oscars, it consists of landing nominations in the top film categories at the Directors Guild, Producers Guild and Writers Guild, and also getting an ensemble-cast nomination from the Screen Actors Guild.

This year, no film did all four of those things.Paul Thomas Anderson’s “Licorice Pizza” and Steven Spielberg’s “West Side Story” were nominated by all four groups, but their SAG nominations were for individual actors, not their ensembles.

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