first-place votes. Under the Oscars preferential or ranked-choice system, a voter typically lists his or her top-five choices in order of preference. (In the Best Picture category, they’re allowed to list up to 10 choices.) After the first-place votes are added up, the lowest-ranking films are eliminated from contention, and their ballots are redistributed to the film ranked second on each ballot.(If the second choice has also been eliminated, or if it’s already hit the magic number and secured a nomination, the vote goes to the next highest contender on the ballot.)The redistribution continues until the field is narrowed to the final five nominees, or the final 10 for Best Picture.To figure out the magic number for each category, take the number of potential voters in that category and divide by the number of nominees, plus one. (In every case except Best Picture, that means 5+1=6.) Round the result up to the next highest number to get the “magic number” that ensures a film or achievement will be in the top five.Here’s the breakdown of what it’ll take to land a nomination in each category when voting begins on Jan.
12. Best PictureIf all 9,579 eligible voters cast ballots in this category, it would take 871 No. 1 votes to guarantee a nomination.
But even if a film doesn’t have that many first-place votes in the initial count, it will likely have many rounds to pick up additional votes as other films are eliminated.Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting ActressThe size of the Actors Branch fell from 1,336 to 1,302 this year, which means that the magic number fell as well, from 223 to 218.
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