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SAG/DGA Film Analysis: How The Snubs, Surprises, And Successes Affect The State Of Oscar Race

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After the first two major guilds weighed in this morning, it is still very clear, as it has been for some time, that it is a ‘Barbenheimer’ world and we just live in it.

Neither component of the summer blockbuster duo of Barbie and Oppenheimer saw their path to Oscar disrupted in any way due to the nomination announcements of the crucially important SAG and DGA members.

Both tied for the lead with four each at SAG including Outstanding Cast, and both Barbie’s Greta Gerwig and Oppenheimer’s Christopher Nolan are on the list of five finalists at the Directors Guild, each guild recently significantly right in lockstep with eventual Oscar winners in acting and directing.

It is a must to make these cuts, and the golden pair succeeded. In fact I was not surprised at all by the DGA list which also included the DGA-beloved Martin Scorsese for Killers Of The Flower Moon, Yorgos Lanthimos for Poor Things, and Alexander Payne for The Holdovers, the latter benefitting from a particularly heavy presence on the Q&A and reception circuit this season and clearly building momentum.

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