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Oscar Nominations Analysis: Blockbusters, Acclaimed Indies, A Couple Of Surprises, Elvis & Marilyn Liven Up Mostly Predictable List

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A commenter named Brad replied to an Oscar predictions piece I put up over the weekend and said: “There used to be a time when I anticipated the Oscar Nominations.

But I feel that time has not been good to the Academy Awards and with so many awards ceremonies these days, the Oscars do not seem special like they once did.” He has a point, as did Cate Blanchett when, during her Critics Choice Award acceptance speech, she wished for the “televised awards horserace” to end and everyone be declared a winner.

There is so much noise, so many precursor groups handing out awards that the Oscar nominations look more often like a rubber stamp these days, even if it clearly remains the only film award truly coveted.

At 95 years old, it still will be the first line in any winner or nominee’s obit. But looking at today’s list of nominees, particularly Best Picture, can we say that any of them are actually surprising?

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