Best PictureSix or seven films seem to be locked in as Best Picture nominees, starting with “The Fabelmans,” “The Banshees of Inisherin,” “Everything Everywhere All at Once” and “Top Gun: Maverick.” You can probably throw in “Tár,” the consensus critics’ favorite, and “Elvis,” buoyed by Austin Butler’s sure-to-be-nominated performance.
Then maybe you get to “Avatar: The Way of Water.” Too big to fail? Maybe.That leaves three slots, for which there are lots of contenders and to my mind no certainty at all. “Women Talking” once seemed strong, and “The Whale” and “Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery” and “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” all scored key Producers Guild nominations.
But will the increasingly international Academy look for a non-English-language film, the way they often have in recent years?
If so, the German film “All Quiet on the Western Front” has been making waves in below-the-line circles and dominated the BAFTA nominations, and the Indian sensation “RRR” has stirred up genuine passion (and even a bit of hysteria) among people who’ve seen it.
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